Diagnose Solar Production Drop

Goal

Diagnose why a solar system is producing less than expected. Customer notices drop on monitoring app + calls for diagnosis. Methodical investigation isolates cause.

Prerequisites

  • Multimeter (DC voltage capable)
  • Infrared camera (helpful but optional)
  • Production history (from monitoring app)
  • Pyranometer (irradiance meter) - for precise diagnostic
  • 1-3 hours per investigation

Initial review (before going on-site)

  1. Pull production history: today, week, month, year
  2. Compare to design: was system producing at design level previously?
  3. Weather correlation: was the drop on cloudy days only?
  4. Time of day: drop at specific hours (morning, evening = shading)?
  5. Inverter logs: any error codes, ground faults?

Symptom branching

Symptom 1: Sudden drop (yesterday OK, today not)

Cause 1: Equipment failure

  • Inverter fault
  • DC disconnect tripped
  • Failed combiner / fuse

Diagnosis: check inverter display + status; check fuses.

Fix: replace faulty component.

Cause 2: Weather

  • Cloudy / overcast day
  • Compare neighbors' systems if possible

Wait for clear day; should recover.

Cause 3: Soiling event

  • Pollen, dust storm, recent fire smoke

Fix: clean panels.

Symptom 2: Gradual drop over weeks/months

Cause 1: Soiling accumulation

  • Dust, dirt, bird droppings building up
  • Especially in dry climates

Fix: clean panels (see Maintenance SOP)

Cause 2: Shading changes

  • Tree growth
  • New construction blocking sun

Fix: trim trees; verify with customer; consider relocation (rare)

Cause 3: Panel degradation

  • Some degradation is normal (0.5-1% per year)
  • Excessive: faulty panels

Fix: identify under-performing panel; warranty claim if possible.

Symptom 3: Drop only at certain time of day

Cause: shading

  • Morning shading from tree to east
  • Afternoon shading from chimney/dormer

Solution: identify source; trim or remove if possible.

Symptom 4: One string of panels producing less

Cause 1: Cable issue

  • Loose connection in string
  • UV degradation of cable insulation
  • Animal damage

Diagnosis: measure DC at each panel + at end of string.

Fix: replace bad cable, tighten connections.

Cause 2: Single bad panel

  • Hot spot, internal damage
  • Damage from hail (sometimes invisible)

Diagnosis: IR camera shows hot spot; or measure each panel individually.

Fix: replace panel (warranty if < 25 years old).

Cause 3: Bypass diode failure

  • Internal panel diodes failed
  • Single panel dragging down the string

Fix: replace panel.

Symptom 5: All strings producing equally low

Cause 1: Inverter issue

  • Inverter not converting DC efficiently
  • Inverter failure imminent

Diagnosis: measure DC in vs AC out; calculate efficiency (should be >95%).

Fix: repair or replace inverter.

Cause 2: Grid issue

  • Inverter throttling due to high grid voltage
  • Less common; check inverter logs

Fix: contact utility if grid voltage out of tolerance.

Symptom 6: Monitoring system shows no production but inverter shows production

Cause: monitoring system fault

  • Lost internet connectivity
  • App / server issue
  • Hardware failure

Diagnosis: verify inverter is producing; check monitoring system separately.

Fix: re-establish internet; replace monitoring module if needed.

Diagnostic tools

Multimeter (DC):

  • Test individual panel output (open-circuit voltage Voc)
  • Test string voltage
  • Test inverter input/output

Typical Voc: 35-50V per panel; 200-600V per string.

Clamp meter (DC current):

  • Test string current
  • Compares to design + other strings

Infrared camera:

  • Identifies hot spots on panels
  • Reveals internal damage invisible to eye
  • thermal cameras adequate

Pyranometer:

  • Measures actual solar irradiance
  • Normalizes production to weather conditions
  • Premium tool ()

Calculation: expected vs actual

System producing < 80% of expected after adjustment for:

  • Weather (cloudy = less)
  • Time of year (winter = less)
  • Time of day (morning/evening = less)
  • Soiling (dust = less)

= INVESTIGATE.

Expected daily output:

For 6kW system in mid-sunny region:

  • Summer day: 30-40 kWh
  • Winter day: 15-25 kWh
  • Cloudy day: 10-20 kWh

Compare to monitoring app data.

When to call manufacturer

  • Panel showing damage covered by warranty
  • Inverter under warranty malfunctioning
  • Mounting hardware failed
  • Battery (if applicable) under warranty

Most panel/inverter manufacturers handle warranty directly. Document with photos + readings.

Production decline expectations

Year Expected production (of nameplate)
Year 1 100%
Year 5 97-99%
Year 10 92-95%
Year 15 88-92%
Year 20 82-88%
Year 25 80-85% (most warranties guarantee this)

If a system is 5 years old + producing 85%, that's outside expected; investigate.

When customer is wrong about a "drop"

Sometimes customers misread monitoring data:

  • Comparing winter to summer (drop is seasonal, normal)
  • Today's production to a particularly sunny day (variation is normal)
  • Monitoring app data is incorrect (server issues)

Educate without dismissing. Then verify whether real drop exists.

Common false alarms

  • Cloudy day vs sunny day (huge difference)
  • Smoke from wildfire reduces irradiance
  • Snow on panels = 0% production (clear after melt)
  • Heavy frost = reduced production (normal)
  • App not syncing = appears as no production (data not real-time issue)

Always verify actual production at inverter before declaring a system problem.

The most overlooked production drop cause: BIRD DROPPINGS NOT VISIBLE FROM GROUND. A spot of bird droppings the size of a quarter shades enough of a panel to drop output 5-15% (bypass diode kicks in but panel functions at reduced capacity). On a customer's annual visit, you may find these - the customer didn't see them because they're on the roof. Annual cleaning has compounding ROI over the system's 25-year life.

References

  • NABCEP diagnostic curriculum
  • Manufacturer troubleshooting guides
  • SEIA performance standards